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Did You Know This?– 2
Governance and Conflict Resolution
in Multi-Ethnic Societies
By Kumar
Rupesinghe
(Material Disseminated by the UN
University)
Nharnet Team (Feb 12, 2005)
(The United Nations University, UNU, is an organ of
the UN established by the General Assembly in 1972 to be an
international community of multicultural scholars engaged in research
and dissemination of knowledge. Nharnet.com is pleased to present
to its readers selected articles from UNU’s research papers of 1996 on
governance and conflict resolution. The material below is a follow up
and final part of the previous installment. This part of the writing
focuses on the theoretical background of conflict resolution mechanisms
and presents a number of solutions based on suitability of every given
reality on the ground. Readers will for sure see a good number of
similarities to the situation in our region. The emphases added, in the
form of underlining, are by Nharnet Team. Good reading.)
***
The application of theories on conflict
and their relation to ethnic strife and future disputes remains one of
the central challenges for scholars and practitioners. The subject
matter of conflicts we are dealing with is largely based on visions of
just societies and strong conceptions of identity.
4.1 Rationality and conflict
resolution
A large and growing body of literature on conflicts and conflict
resolution has consisted of theoretical reflection coming from the
United States and Europe. This approach generally presupposes a domain
of "rationality," where all the parties more or less share certain basic
values based on rational argument. However, certain assumptions within
this conventional theoretical conflict paradigm are largely unseated and
need to be deconstructed. Failure to do this leaves un addressed many
crucial questions relating to the causes of endemic violence in third
world societies, the undemocratic nature of many of these societies and
their inability to resolve conflicts in a more humane and peaceful
manner. Conflict resolution theory, fixed within a rationalist
framework, marginalises many of these dimensions, making the theory a
limited tool in resolving violent disputes. It is therefore important to
identify some of the stated assumptions behind the approach to conflict
resolution mentioned above.
In Western approaches to conflict
resolution it is assumed that the problem is getting the parties to the
conference table through negotiations and that it is possible to get a
win/win solution agreeable to both sides.
The environment within which these conflicts occur is generally imbued
with a strong ideological imperative of equality and recognition of the
rule of law. The modern division of labour in Western societies assumes
that their members are tied to multiple roles and are attached to a
variety of interests which result in conflict. In recognition of this
complexity, society develops institutions and mechanisms to resolve
conflicts in a specified way. Gradually, a culture of negotiations
emerges and a complex network of arbitration and dispute resolution
becomes increasingly professionalized. Conflicts are amongst like-minded
actors who speak a common language, denoting a shared universe of
meaning. Normally, disputes are defined within a fairly developed
regime of law, based on individual rights, which has had a specific
historical evolution in the West. In this approach a high priority is
given to getting all the parties to reach an understanding of their
specific interest and how those interests can be satisfied using
problem-solving approaches and negotiations.
4.2 Conflict theory as applied to
protracted conflict
How relevant are these approaches to the
protracted violent conflicts we are now experiencing? These conflicts
are not based merely on interest but involve many social dimensions
involving identity and security. Social conflicts involving groups
within a society are taken as severe when they result in political
violence (war, massacres, executions, disappearances, torture), or
serious political repression (imprisonment, censorship, discrimination)
on a large scale.
Conflicts which involve a core sense
of identity between or among parties tend to be intractable: the
intractability is generated by the dynamics of the conflict rather than
by a rational reasoning process. Conflict resolution here means changing
the conditions of this intractability.
These conflicts are not single-issue disputes, but multiple conflicts
being waged simultaneously.
In the most general terms, I would suggest that we see conflicts as
collisions between projects. Projects are sequences of actions directed
towards a goal. Conflicts occur when the projects of different actors
start impinging on each other. Take missions, for example. Missions are
projects of the largest historical scale: their space is the world,
their time measured in millennia. Among the world's religions, two stand
out as missionary creeds: Christianity and Islam. The collision of
ideologies in this century - between concepts of capitalism, Marxism,
nationalism, or the idea of progress - can also be seen as clashes
between projects.
4.3 Governance and conflict
transformation
In reviewing conflict resolution
stratagems I think I have made it clear that those which have emanated
from the discourse of rationality are only partially applicable to
protracted social conflicts.
Research on past conflicts provides us
with quite a few clues to address this issue. Conflicts have a beginning
and an end. While some recent wars have lasted 30 years, inter-state
wars are getting shorter and more random. On the other hand, internal
wars are getting longer and more consistent. It is also apparent that
the most difficult conflicts to resolve are ethnic conflicts, and they
also seem to be the most violent, involving the highest number of
civilian casualties. Third parties seldom intervene until the violence
reaches a high level and casualties are very high. The United Nations is
rarely involved in these conflicts and the cases are rarely brought to
the Security Council. Intervention, third-party mediation, or
negotiations usually come years too late, after the conflict has become
intractable. It is therefore necessary to identify gaps in the conflict
process and find ways of strengthening and building competence in these
areas.
In recent years it has become abundantly
clear that we must abandon linear approaches that seek single causes of
conflicts and adopt multiple approaches to reduce the sources of
intractability. Conflicts can only be resolved within a political
process. Such an approach requires recognition that many actors and many
institutions need to be involved, and that a division of labour needs to
evolve which engages the United Nations, the international community,
and the non-governmental world.
A conflict may be broken down into several phases: formation;
escalation; endurance; improvement; and transformation. Each phase may
require a different type of intervention:
1. formation - early warning;
2. escalation - crisis intervention;
3. endurance empowerment and mediation;
4. improvement - negotiation/problem-solving;
5. transformation - new institutions and projects.
4.3.1 When conflicts begin:
Conflict formation
The conflict formation phase is when
there is a perceived disjuncture between actors in a given social
system. Conflict prevention means controlling a situation where
conflicting goals exist, in order to avoid the development of violence.
Institution-building for conflict regulation is one form of conflict
prevention.
The political institutions which will be
discussed later fall into this category. There is very little
recognition of early warning indicators that can lead to conflict
management or resolution. Except for national intelligence services
notorious for their bias and lack of credibility - there is no agency to
monitor potential conflicts. Similarly, there is no public agency which
can work towards conflict prevention. Few societies have ombudsmen or
other governmental bodies to facilitate preventive action.
Generally, the international system has been geared for the protection
of victims and intervention only after a conflict has developed into
pathological proportions. Only very recently have serious discussions
started on the development of an early warning capability and the need
for preventive diplomacy.
4.3.2 Conflict escalation and
crisis intervention
Conflict escalation occurs when
conflicting parties have gone into the phase of attrition, both verbal
and military, and when a dispute enters into a spiral of violence and
counter-violence. Very little is done to intervene when a conflict
escalates into bloodshed. Far too often, states are dearly implicated in
fomenting or tolerating riots and pogroms. The same is true when it
comes to the investigation of crimes committed against civilians and
when little is done to hold law enforcement agencies accountable.
Non-governmental and humanitarian
organizations and citizen bodies may play a role in providing relief to
the victims. This is when peace-keeping forces may be brought into play.
The United Nations has developed competence in peace-keeping and this
may be used increasingly in internal armed conflicts.
4.3.3 Conflict endurance:
Empowerment and mediation
Conflict endurance refers to a phase in which the parties to a conflict
have entered a state of war and the reproduction of violence becomes
pathological. Civilian institutions are weakened and the civilian
community is passive. Eventually, concessions for mediation may be made,
due to war-weariness or when the conflict has reached sufficient
maturity and one side has been able to press its claims through either
violence or mass pressure. Generally, as far as the state is concerned,
concessions are expressed through accords, roundtable conferences,
pacts, and agreements.
Recent accords, however, do not
provide for any optimism. Rather than resolve conflicts, some accords
merely serve to create new disputes. Instead of being an attempt to
bring parties to a consensus, an accord may really represent the
exercise of power and the imposition of the will of the state. This is
the time when civilians need to assert themselves and create space for
democratic action and the resolution of conflict.
4.3.4 Conflict improvement:
Negotiation and problem solving
There are instances when negotiations
begin in earnest between protagonists. But cease-fires and negotiations
tend to break down for a variety of reasons: there may be too much
secrecy involved, or a lack of professional negotiators, and cease-fires
can be used for regrouping armed militia. Such setbacks occur despite
the fact that there are now many examples of frameworks for negotiations
at the UN, regional, and subregional levels.
4.3.5 Conflict transformation: New
institutions and projects
This is a phase when popular forces are
able to change the balance of power and there is a change of regime,
through either an election or a coup. Such transformation can only be
meaningful if it is not a mere transfer of power, if structural changes
are achieved within the society and new institutions emerge to address
themselves meaningfully to outstanding issues.
We can classify possible solutions to
the kinds of conflict discussed above, as follows:
(i) A high degree of regional autonomy for a minority which has
already a strong territorial claim;
(ii) Fundamental social reforms such as land reform, labour rights,
social redistribution of wealth, etc.;
(iii) Political democracy with a free press, multi-party system,
civil and political rights;
(iv) Consociational democracy: more complex social contracts that
combine universal political rights with special provisions for
vulnerable groups;
(v) Federal form of government which recognizes linguistic groups
and nationalities as units of devolution.
A rationalist formula may be able to
deal with some of the phases in the conflict process but not all. The
timing of various interventions and the nature of the intervenor can be
crucial to the way in which the conflict is transformed. The challenge
falls on those who capture the democratic space available to determine
whether conflicts can be transformed through collective non-violence or
whether armed conflicts and criminality will dominate. In peace-building
processes, I would suggest that each specific culture has the indigenous
resources to resolve its own conflicts. It should be borne in mind that
conflict transformation attempts to empower all the parties to a
conflict. This approach recognizes that social conflicts need to be
transformed in a less violent way. Admittedly, violence can achieve
limited objectives, but contemporary violence and its manifestations
maim and injure all sides, including large numbers of civilians.
5
International responses and mechanisms
Concern has been expressed at the lack
of capacity of international institutions such as the United Nations and
various regional organizations to manage ethnic and internal conflict.
5.1 The role of the United Nations
The UN has considerable potential for
conflict prevention and conflict resolution, but it is obvious that it
has a limited mandate when it comes to violent conflicts, often defined
as internal disputes. Nevertheless, the organization has been involved
in conflicts in countries such as the Congo, Cyprus, Lebanon, Somalia,
and Guatemala, and has sent observer missions to Palestine, Kashmir,
Cambodia, Afghanistan, and El Salvador. Over the years, the UN has
developed considerable competence in peace-keeping, but not in
peace-making or in peace-building. It is therefore necessary to continue
exploring ways to advance the UN's role as peacemaker. Many suggestions
have been made, from improving reporting systems to early warnings,
strengthening the role of the Secretary-General, developing competence
within the Secretary-General's office, and appointing special
rapporteurs. The Security Council has not been able to ignore the
growing political and public pressure to re-examine the scope of UN
activities. Discussions within the Security Council have allowed world
leaders to explore the weaknesses and strengths of the United Nations,
discuss its role after the Cold War, and make recommendations for its
evolution. Many of the leaders proposed that the United Nations should
play a major role in peace-making. It was suggested that the UN should
not only develop an early warning capability but address the issue of
conflict prevention by early and timely intervention. The
Secretary-General was requested to use his good offices in advancing the
cause of peace-making and peace-building.
Research on the formation of conflicts
and their maturation tells us of the many lacunae and gaps in the field.
We know that early warning and early intervention are still the weak
links in the chain. We also know that once a conflict matures there is a
mismatch between the event and forms of intervention. Generally
intervention through fact-finding or mediation comes too late. We need
to mobilize and deploy much earlier the skills available to enforce and
monitor cease fires. Parties in conflict rarely find legitimate
frameworks to discuss these issues.
Negotiation is not the business of
amateurs but requires the use of organizations with an institutional
memory. Different interventions are required at different stages, from
early warning to conflict transformation. The problem is not only to
reduce the duration of the conflict but also to reduce the mismatch
between escalation and intervention.
The United Nations is rightly placed and
has within its mandate the opportunity to address these issues.
According to Brian Urquhart, the UN has exercised two options in the
past: traditional peacekeeping or large-scale collective enforcement
action, such as was seen in Korea and more recently in Kuwait. Urquhart
suggests a third strategy of international military operation is needed,
somewhere between peace-keeping and large-scale enforcement. It would
aim to put an end to random and uncontrolled violence and provide a
reasonable degree of peace and order so that humanitarian relief work
could go forward, and a conciliation and settlement process be
undertaken.
Such armed police actions would use
highly trained but relatively small numbers of troops and would not have
military objectives as such. Unlike peacekeeping forces they would be
required to take certain combat risks and if necessary to use a limited
degree of force. (Urquhart, 1993: 93-4)
My proposal, however, is directed toward
preventing large-scale conflicts and bloodshed. The dynamics of
conflicts are such that we need to have an enlarged political package
where many initiatives can have a consistent place. This is why a new
framework needs to be provided by the international community. There
must be early and timely intervention. A framework for discussion can
provide a basis for negotiating territorial grievances within an
international setting.
Furthermore, guarantees for minorities
may also be secured by providing comparative knowledge, as well as
constitutional provisions and other mechanisms tried out elsewhere.
Given timely warning and early enough alert information, the United
Nations and the Secretary-General should be able to make available their
offices to provide such frameworks for dispute resolution.
There must be a quick and effective
manner to bring impending violent situations to the attention of the
Security Council. In this regard, fact-finding missions sent quickly can
accomplish a lot. Providing forums for the parties to identify the
issues can also help, as can the sending of skilled peace-makers to talk
to the parties and the provision of competent negotiators as technical
assistants. The point is that contingency plans should be comprehensive.
In the pursuit of peace-making
initiatives the United Nations can also benefit by closer cooperation
with non-governmental organizations in the field. A much better
understanding is required of how these organizations assist by
developing early warning information and research and collaborating with
other groups in the field. This in turn would foster a better
understanding of the comparative advantages of each type of organization
and the coalitions needed to be built around particular issues. Just as
the current discussion on the role of the United Nations is timely,
addressing these relationships at the highest level could help the
people of the twenty-first century live in a more peaceful world.
References
Barsh, Lawrence. 1988. "The Ethnic
Factor in Security and Development: Perceptions of the United Nations
Human Rights Bodies." Acta Sociologica 31, no. 4: 333-41.
Horowitz, Donald L. 1981. "Patterns of
Ethnic Separatism." Comparative Studies in Society and History
23, no. 2.
Northrup, Terrell A. 1989. "The Dynamic
of Identity in Personal and Social Conflict." In Louis Krieberg, Terrell
A. Northrop, and Stuart J. Thorson (eds), Intractable Conflicts and
their Transformation. Syracuse: Syracuse University Press.
Rothschild, Joseph. 1981.
Ethnopolitics: A Conceptual Framework. New York: Columbia University
Press.
SIPRI Yearbook 1992.
1992. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. Oxford: Oxford
University Press.
Smith, Anthony D. 1983. "Ethnic Identity
and World Order." Millennium 12: 149-61.
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UN [E/CN.4/sub.2/404/Rev.1]
Urquhart, Brian. 1993. "Security After
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Oxford: Clarendon Press, pp. 81-103.
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